Off the tracks

Is the dream of renewable energy already over? To judge from what was said recently one might be forgiven for thinking so.

Almost every speech at the high-level talks of the importance of fossil fuels for energy supply is underlined. And not just by industry representatives, but also by the responsible ministers. The Environment Minister even said: was “against discrimination of fossil fuels”.

Those are just words, but the actions speak even louder. Fact is the use of coal increased substantially last year. Ironically, the additional coal used in the power stations could have been exported, while the export could be counted bringing down our energy-related CO2 emissions to a level not seen before. No wonder some people say our economy is where the real climate change is taking place.

However, it would be premature to write off the governments ambitious energy plan at this stage. We did manage over the past few years to increase renewable energy production to an unprecedented level. This is not an unimportant achievement.

The real question is whether we can build on this success by turning the renewable energy revolution from a subsidy-drain into an engine of technological and economic development. As energy observers note it is a gamble: “No other country can tap such technical expertise from industry or such bottom-up activism from municipalities, companies and citizens’ cooperatives in support of the low-carbon industry.

To prevent the renewable energy industry from becoming permanently sidetracked will require a massive effort and a much greater degree of faith (and coordination) than the current government is displaying. The industry has entered into a precarious, if not chaotic, phase. You can read her assessment of the current energy mood in Berlin by clicking here.

CO2Land apologize for the excitement, but we are not alone!

 

 

State of the Climate

Whether you believe it is human induced (anthropogenic) or natural occurring (atmospheric, hydrospheric and biospheric) or otherwise the facts speak for themselves. From the Bureau of Meteorology the Fast Facts are:

  • Climate change is continuing
  • Warming has been measured around Australia and globally during recent decades
  • 2010 Global temperatures were the warmest on record (slightly higher than 2005 and 1998)
  • Australia experienced record rainfalls and the coolest temperatures since 2001 due to a very strong La Niña event in 2010 and 2011
  • Concentrations of long-lived greenhouse gases in the atmosphere reached a new high in 2011
  • Australian temperatures are projected to increase in coming decades

Rising CO2 emissions from the burning of fossil fuels has affected global temperature much more than natural climate variability during the past century.

The State of the Climate(March 2010 release) highlighted a multi-decadal warming trend over Australia’s land and oceans, an increase in record hot days and decrease in record cold days across the country, a decrease in rainfall in southwest and southeast Australia, an increase in global sea level, and increases in global greenhouse gas concentrations.

The State of the Climate (2012 release) provides an updated summary of long-term climate trends. It notes that the long-term warming trend has not changed, with each decade having been warmer than the previous decade since the 1950s. The warming trends observed around Australia are consistent with global-scale warming that has been measured during recent decades, despite 2010 and 2011 being the coolest years recorded in Australia since 2001. Global-average surface temperatures were the warmest on record in 2010 (slightly higher than 2005 and 1998). 2011 was the world’s 11th warmest year and the warmest year on record during a La Niña event. The world’s 13 warmest years on record have all occurred in the past 15 years.

State of the Climate 2012 also highlights the increase in global sea level and notes sea-level rise around Australia since 1993 is greater than, or equal to, the global average. Our observations show that sea-surface temperatures around Australia have increased faster than the global average. The concentrations of long-lived greenhouse gases in the atmosphere reached a new high in 2011. Annual growth in global fossil-fuel CO2 emissions between 2009 and 2010 was 5.9 per cent, reversing a small decline of 1.2 per cent recorded between 2008 and 2009 during the global financial crisis”.

CO2Land org stresses that from a farmer perspective the interrupts to the season trends mean considerable adaption will be required, more than just improved management techniques. Evidence is given by the Bureau that  “There has been a general trend towards increased spring and summer monsoonal rainfall across Australia’s north during recent decades, and decreased late autumn and winter rainfall across southern Australia. The summary shows that the very strong La Niña event in 2010 followed by another in 2011 brought the highest two-year Australian-average rainfall total on record.

CO2Land org was impressed with Dr Karl Braganza from the Climate Monitoring Section of the Bureau of Meteorology where he discusses the State of the Climate in 2012 in a video. Visit www.bom.gov.au and follow the report.

 

a story from BEIJING

The Climate group of China, has released a story from BEIJING: The Chinese Government has released a regulation on domestic voluntary carbon trading and market development, which puts the nation on track towards achieving a compulsory carbon market.

In a quote directly from Changhua Wu, Greater China Director, The Climate Group, dated 9 July 2012, is: “This regulation marks a significant step forward in China in developing the domestic carbon market” . She added: “It sets clear guidelines and requirements of the technical and institutional elements when domestic voluntary carbon market is concerned. While still at a very early stage, today China is on the right track towards a nation-wide compulsory carbon market by establishing the infrastructure, technical guideline, as well as institutional structure needed to accelerate progress….This effort builds upon the practice and experience of China’s active participation in the Clean Development Mechanism at the global level.”

CO2Land org thinks we should have a long look at the significance of this development, we are not alone!

A cows’ stomach will adjust

Evidence has been presented that adding supplements to cattle feed will only have a short-term effect. “Within six weeks they’d gone back to how they were at the beginning”.

CO2Land org picked up the story that says a cow’s stomach will adjust to changes in diet, and soon return to producing the same amount of methane as before. This raises many questions on other research findings that encourage diet changes to reduce methane emissions from livestock and raises the question: Is it a sustainable solution to switch feedstock for livestock?

Visiting Australia, the livestock sustainability consultant Dr Judy Capper delivered her findings to a national dairy conference at Camden in NSW. She says Australia’s tests on waste from wine grapes and oilseed in cattle feed showed they work only for a few weeks. “Long term, the rumen has a tendency to return to normal no matter what you do to it”.

Also reported was that US studies show a dairy cow in milk production emits, with high quality dairy feed, 1.35 kg of carbon per kilo of milk. In Africa carbon emission is ten times as high per kilo of milk, because the quality of forage feed is so much lower.

Food for thought!

See her research on http://www.wsu.academia.edu/JudeCapperabcwire.send-wallace.rural

Electric Motoring: The Technology Every Fleet Manager Should Know About

A global debate occurred today 6 July 2012, after James Knight of The Fuelcard Company  in the UK posted a guide – Electric Motoring: The Technology Every Fleet Manager Should Know About. A guide for Fleet managers are looking to greener technologies to combat fuel costs and emissions.

CO2Land org played the devil’s advocate by quoting Origin Energy’s comparision posted on Drive.com.au . The quote being “A new generation of plug-in cars could do more to damage the environment than a Holden Commodore…..Origin Energy, Australia’s largest energy supplier, has compared the running costs and carbon dioxide emissions associated with a Nissan Leaf electric car against a similarly sized Mazda3 small car and Toyota’s environmental hero, the Prius.

Nissan come back with ‘‘It’s mostly Victoria that has the brown coal issue…Even in NSW (which uses black coal-fired power) the CO2 data are better…. ‘While it’s a most parochial angle, brown coal-fired Victoria is probably the least attractive to electric vehicles at the moment…’But this is changing with the carbon tax et al, and, as Nissan has said in the past, we can deliver the ultimate emission free technology but we can’t fix everything (like the source of energy) for which governments and energy producers are ultimately responsible….the Commodore’s emissions figures would look even worse if – similar to accounting for the emissions from electricity generation – the CO2 output of refining oil to make petrol was taken into account.

CO2Land took note of the comment and an interesting point prevails – what is the full life cycle cost of any of each of these types of cars? No real answer came forward, however on the grid emissions matter affecting electric cars environmental performance, the response from Ron Benenati in California USA was worth taking notice of: “The grid is everything. I suspect this bodes worse for Australia’s electric generation than for electric vehicles. It is one of the filthiest grids in the world. Coal fired electric plants are dinosaurs on their way out. THIS IS WHAT WE MUST GET BEYOND. It is the whole package. I have seen no other research as severe in its conclusions”.Then in defence of electric cars, Ron said: “But, three things I would add…The technology is new, and will only improve. Grids, in most, countries are getting better -rapidly. Renewable energy now provides 20 percent of electric worldwide according to the IEA. In my country, states like California have set a target of 60 per cent clean electric generation in the near future. So, dirty fuel generation is not really the failure of electric cars.

In hybrids vs conventional, MPG/MPK, certainly means a lot in terms of emissions. It also means a lot in terms of spills, contamination from processing before we even get to car emissions… 

If we are going to have a future, I suspect electric cars will be a part of it”.

Sheepishly, this writer has to say, seeing we live with such a dirty fuel generation system in this country, the preferred vehicle in this garage is POWERFUL – vroom vroom – for another couple of years anyway!

Bi-partisan support for Bob Hawke Landcare Award

The Bob Hawke Landcare Award is replacing the McKell Medal.

CO2Land org has picked up that the NSW Department of Primary Industries is encouraging Landcare facilitators, coordinators and networks to nominate a worthy recipient for the Bob Hawke Landcare Award.

To be eligible for the award, nominees must be actively involved in Landcare or sustainable agriculture and be willing to promote the Landcare ethos.

The Bob Hawke Landcare Award recipient will be awarded a $50,000 prize package for further development of their knowledge and skills in sustainable land management. The recipient will also receive an honorary two-year position on the Australian Landcare Council.

Nominations close at midnight (AEDT) on Monday 23, July 2012.

Being that all nominations will be assessed by a non-politicked advisory panel, with representatives from Australian, state and territory governments, Landcare and the natural resource management community. CO2Land org is happy to pass this message on to its readers.

For more information the NSW Government contact is:

John Perrott
Natural Resource Officer
Department of Primary Industries

Phone: 02 9895 7252
Fax: 02 9895 7252 
john.perrott@environment.nsw.gov.au

Culture of sustainability in a cloud

Carbon Management Plan

To be strategic in how you approach your carbon scorecard requires a good carbon management plan[1]. In building that plan you need to “build a culture of sustainability”. The aim is to be a business or entity that will perform better in the triple bottom line for the long-term. However well planned we should be aware that what appears plausible could be affected by black swan events (improbable happenings – left field whams – disasters). In another blog we will talk of these events in more detail.

To defend against the black swan event

It all gets down to being able to use a robust metric to reduce risk and having a communication platform that can be maintained throughout any event. It is suggested the magic metric is “The ability to scale change far beyond its own organization”, and the magic communication system is “Cloud Computing”.

Apple the model of sustainability?

The three largest IT companies building on the cloud are reported as Apple, Microsoft and Amazon.  It appears Apple is winning the public perceptions of playing a big part in forming the culture of sustainability, and the company goes beyond simple assessment of supplier relationships, working conditions for employees, and environmental issues.  The work of TruCost[2] – through Bloomburg says Apple is an example of tackling a truly sustainable approach and “offers Apple room for growth”.

Back to cloud computing: This concept requires substantial energy consumption. As a model for sustainability, Apple is acknowledging that rapid expansion has been made, in the past, without adequate regard to source of electricity, and do rely heavily on black types of energy to power their clouds. TruCost reports Apple gave “a vociferous response ….., which in May announced it was approved to build a 20-megawatt solar power facility across the street from its data center in Maiden, North Carolina. The site will be powered completely by renewable sources by the end of 2012”. It would be nice to hear of a report from Microsoft and Amazon on similar aims.

Reflect the potential

If Apple is the example of how to build a culture of sustainability, then it shows a reflection of the potential to scale sustainability innovation. Why is it so difficult to encourage policy makers to encourage innovation? To CO2Land it is important to advocate for innovation, and being able to help with factual advice on how to drive change, to maintain environmental performance.

How to keep it up for your benefit: Legitimate efforts to a culture of sustainability create and defend values. You can only do that if you follow paths to authenticity, transparency and responsiveness to grow and thrive.

Footnote 1: Copyright Carbon Training International Visit www.co2ti.com

Footnote 2: Check out the body of work on Apple by Krosinsky (Senior Vice President of TruCost). Other references Visit www.bloomberg.com/sustainability.


 

CFI or BF or BAU – decisions to participate

Deciding to participate

In deciding which government program will be more effective in attracting landholders and farming practitioners you have to consider whether it be the Carbon Farming Initiative (CFI) or the Biodiversity Fund (BF), or some new mechanism yet to be announced.

The later will come or go in the political morass. However, tangible initiatives are in place that could help private landholders hold-on in these difficult times and benefit both greenhouse abatement and encourage biodiversity management.

Which way would you go? Are you as a landholder a change agent? It will matter if you want to participate.

What if you set up a conservation practice, and go beyond business as usual -That is become a change agent? If yes, than it is possible to launch into the programs.

Which program is better suited to who, and why would you buy into either? What is the cost-benefit indicator in either?

Where to launch yourself

Consider this: A carbon credit is a property right that can help farmers, it is measureable and tradable. If the carbon credit unit under the CFI is vaulted and not sold it is possible it could be lost. CFI makes provision for more appealing use of the credit by market mechanism, meaning a more appealing product could produce a greater value for the property for which the credit was produced.   So you need to consider what is the level of government intervention likely, and what would be the triggers for this or any other government to consider the need for intervention.

Next consider the BF. The Biodiversity Fund can compensate farmers for some of the carbon forest establishment expenses, and it can guarantee the forests to be permanent carbon sinks. What BF does is help private landholders add value to the carbon sink and restore their landscape by undertaking biodiverse plantings. Outside our control, risk can occur and one example is bush fires.

But, are the market signals enough, why should I lock up my land to participate in either? I can still be able to plant trees on my private land, there is still a business potential for business as usual for agricultural purposes, and that could satisfy my local social and cultural values, and suit my financial needs. It follows I am happy that I treat my land with respect and its nature rewards me without government programs. Responding to market signals might not preserve what is my reason for being a landholder despite the promises.

If I clearly, believe in the requirement to address emissions abatement and biodiversity to protect, what is causing me this unease?  Do I feel this way, have doubts, because I am concerned about the design of the programs, and the short answer is yes.  It is a particular political party making me feel this way, short answer no.

Design of the programs

What worries me is the design of the programs. Innovators are locked out, policy outputs are aggregated in to boxes, and many ticks in the box are called outcomes. Because of this the ability to influence the approaches to emission abatement and biodiversity management is compromised. Compromise has the potential to disrupt the success of the projects. To the government’s defence they have allocated a research budget under the CFI to study and deliver outcomes for the programs.

Can your feedback enhance the design of these programs? It happens Carbon Innovation (CI) and Carbon Training International (CTi) have been approaching government agencies and designed an CFI Exchange Series to address this problem and give feedback on what affects farmers and landholders – more than just policy outputs we argue.

What are the CI/CTi CFI Exchange series findings?

1. Overlooked in the design of programs: Social and cultural factors have the ability to influence these market approaches to emissions abatement and biodiversity management.

2. Social and cultural factors are the drivers to successful programs.

3. The bother of undertaking the many steps of CFI methodology process (positive/negative lists etc) is time consuming for landowners, and diverts the efforts that could otherwise be productive on the future of their farm businesses.

4. Landholders are having to deal with uncertainties and the risks are more often exaggerated and the opportunities obscure.

5. Awareness sessions labeled Carbon 101, short courses, are done to death.

Dealing with uncertainty

The 100 klm rule is most influential in dealing with uncertainty.

All it takes is a neighbor to say: Sounds a bit risky. You then feel compelled to get more information on what will effect you. The government will argue the information is available on government websites, by third parties authorized by the government. But clearly lacking is an adequate explanation of how, what or where to address the skills and competencies required – that is a no to adequate information.

Outside the 100 klm, the ability of the landholder to influence is much less, as country and soil type, diversity and other factors can affect decisions. For instance a brown soil country has a much different productive capacity to grey alluvial soil. An urban encroachment over rural farmlands will see different attitudes. Enthusiasm to experiment can replace the practicality of historical lessons.

The Exchange series was designed to alleviate the constant fear of carbon schemes being put at risk, and providing information to make it less uncertain for landowners.

Think of it as an insurance of really knowing if the government is here to help you.

On the subject of insurance, good data will help get adequate cover – so I am told! Is that adequate to be an extra incentive for me? Back to you shortly.

References are various and this post mainly forms the seeming factual position to report and is not meant for anyone to rely on financial decision making. It is however, demonstrating the need for more information.