BAU – Rio + 2012 outcome

BBC Headline sub-title: Weather matches mood: Environmental supporters march in the rain at Rio+20, 22 June 2012.

Outcomes are funny things: sometimes they are policy, and sometimes they are political outcomes, or they are both. No matter what ticks your box, widespread criticism on what was the likely outcome for sustainable development in Rio + 20 make it hard to declare if any outcome was conclusive.

With high expectation that more than a hundred world leaders would tackle poverty and damage to the natural world with definitive measures. The consensus is few tangible measures have been agreed.

The blame game that will be the fallout, and a wager is we will hear similar ‘insipid’ games played in our own politics. If you take note of these comments you will see the illustration of what to expect:

  • Fernando Cardoso Former Brazilian President: “This is a ‘once in a generation’ moment when the world needs vision, commitment and, above all, leadership”, and “Sadly, the current document is a failure of leadership.”
  • The British Deputy Prime Minister, Nick Clegg, went so far as to call it “insipid”.
  • Former Brazilian President Fernando Cardoso, who chaired the 1992 Earth Summit, said “This old division between environment and development is not the way we are going to solve the problems that we are creating for our grandchildren and great-grandchildren”.
  • BBC environment correspondent Richard Black says: “The overall feeling here is that governments have missed an opportunity to change the course of human development,” and “But it’s clear not every country wanted a change of tack. The US, Canada and many developing nations appear content to continue with business as usual.”

CO2Land org advocates that regardless of the need for leverage for power, We have to accept that the solutions to poverty and inequality lie in sustainable growth, not growth at all costs. Taking ‘note’ of initiatives for sustainable growth and burying any chance of enthusiasm in 50 pages of text is not enough, it is not even good politics.

One step forward, two steps back – QANTAS

One step forward two steps back

When taking the helm of our great national airline, Alan Joyce is noted as saying the future of QANTAS is the JETSTAR model, was he right, poll taken 23 Jun 2012 – oh Dear such poor judgment (poll attached below)?

Then another ‘brilliant’ strategist, the Nationals senator Barnaby Joyce (no relation to Alan Joyce) says he is backing Qantas. Barnaby is quoted by the Herald as saying “it’s a case of recognizing reality.”

From the Herald comes a reader comment, 23 Jun 2012:

“This is just my view but I wouldn’t be surprised if QF’s real aim to build up Jetstar, … 

Sydneysider”

Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/business/we-could-go-under-qantas-tells-mps-20120621-20r1y.html#ixzz1yZQKENAu

Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/business/we-could-go-under-qantas-tells-mps-20120621-20r1y.html#ixzz1yZP48rOy

 

Poll: Which airline would you rather fly?

Qantas 53%

Virgin 39%

Jetstar 3%

Tiger 5%

Total votes: 16763.

Poll closed 23 Jun, 2012

Disclaimer: These polls are not scientific and reflect the opinion only of visitors who have chosen to participate.

 Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/business/we-could-go-under-qantas-tells-mps-20120621-20r1y.html#ixzz1yZL16UqG

And the QANTAS chief asks for competition to be restricted or else.  The ‘or else’ is we could go under? But, fear not that might be the plan – a JETSTAR revival, long live and re-Joyce.

Why do we care? QANTAS is committed to helping our environment. They have established codes of such and we support that position. Polls suggest readers agree.

NFF Not happy – new agricultural body recommended

Senate recommends new agricultural body
The Senate Inquiry into agricultural education has recommended a new agricultural body to represent farmers and agribusinesses be established for policy.

On the NFF website the President, Jock Laurie, said. “The NFF’s very mandate is to represent farmers and the broader farm sector: we already have a powerful reputation, a strong and established relationship with Government and have achieved major outcomes for our sector. The suggestion that yet another body be formed is completely counterproductive to Australian agriculture”.

The senate obviously has a different view and wants the strategic direction for the future of the agriculture sector to have different leadership on agricultural education, the issues around foreign investment, and food security.

The NFF is not happy, they are on record as saying the Senate Inquiry overstepped its terms of reference and has not recognised issues where the NFF has runs on the board, and is achieving real outcomes for the sector.

CO2Land org can understand the frustration and can sympathise on the calls for greater resourcing of agricultural representation across the sector and greater collaboration between organisations. It is sincerely hoped all will be handled so that creditable representation will be achieved and work already advanced on foreign investment, the Rio+20 Forum etc. will result in a more than  just a series of outputs termed an outcome. The trademark of a body not concerned with real innovation.

 

To CFI or not to CFI – Oh a change is coming

To CFI or not to CFI – Technology related innovations could help decision-making.

The scenario: You know your life on the land has taught you many a key lesson; major events can strike at any time. These predictable events and many a warning about climate related events is given, you would make an assessment, and peer pressure might help you determine it is improbable that such events will affect your activities – this year.

Now comes your problem: Legislation encourages incentives to change land management practices. You follow a lot of stories, get anecdotal advice, but remain apprehensive. What do you need to help with your decision process to participate, you know there are a lot of government sponsored programs, no end of ‘professional advice’ on practices, and remain concerned it is all a bit ‘tent revival’ flavoured?

The cause of your unease can be explained by the knowledge that your information package is not complete, that penalties can be levied under curtain conditions that might not be apparent now, that improbable events can occur.

On the later point (improbable), recent disasters proved that conventional systems fail, that chaos would have persisted had it not been for innovative solutions. Those solutions were in the hands of the people, not those in authority, the ability to be there on the spot, to communicate instantly the situation helped in a multiplicity of ways.

The point of this story is because technology was advanced and accessible, decisions could be made on the real circumstances involving you. You could then confidently move forward with what you access is for you to commit to, no hype, no undue pressure from the ‘tent’.

It happens CO2Land org has talked to Carbon Innovation, Carbon Training International and their business partners and while some announcements have been made of a relationship between Balance Carbon and Carbon Training International to bring you CFI trading capability under the peerage of the Carbon Market Institute, you can be confident major announcements will be made on the progress of new generation technology innovations that are at the forefront and involve other partners. With this advancement you can minimize potential of the “Black Swan” (book printed 2007, author Nassim Nicholas Taleb – not of the treasurer). The reference is quoted as ”until white settlers landed in Western Australia and discovered black swans, it was assumed all swans were white”.  Landholders may identify with this story as history has thrown up many such examples; but it is often easier to put aside the impacts because conventional wisdom assigns the possible as improbable.

Watch this space, 0h a change is coming.

Culture of sustainability in a cloud

Carbon Management Plan

To be strategic in how you approach your carbon scorecard requires a good carbon management plan[1]. In building that plan you need to “build a culture of sustainability”. The aim is to be a business or entity that will perform better in the triple bottom line for the long-term. However well planned we should be aware that what appears plausible could be affected by black swan events (improbable happenings – left field whams – disasters). In another blog we will talk of these events in more detail.

To defend against the black swan event

It all gets down to being able to use a robust metric to reduce risk and having a communication platform that can be maintained throughout any event. It is suggested the magic metric is “The ability to scale change far beyond its own organization”, and the magic communication system is “Cloud Computing”.

Apple the model of sustainability?

The three largest IT companies building on the cloud are reported as Apple, Microsoft and Amazon.  It appears Apple is winning the public perceptions of playing a big part in forming the culture of sustainability, and the company goes beyond simple assessment of supplier relationships, working conditions for employees, and environmental issues.  The work of TruCost[2] – through Bloomburg says Apple is an example of tackling a truly sustainable approach and “offers Apple room for growth”.

Back to cloud computing: This concept requires substantial energy consumption. As a model for sustainability, Apple is acknowledging that rapid expansion has been made, in the past, without adequate regard to source of electricity, and do rely heavily on black types of energy to power their clouds. TruCost reports Apple gave “a vociferous response ….., which in May announced it was approved to build a 20-megawatt solar power facility across the street from its data center in Maiden, North Carolina. The site will be powered completely by renewable sources by the end of 2012”. It would be nice to hear of a report from Microsoft and Amazon on similar aims.

Reflect the potential

If Apple is the example of how to build a culture of sustainability, then it shows a reflection of the potential to scale sustainability innovation. Why is it so difficult to encourage policy makers to encourage innovation? To CO2Land it is important to advocate for innovation, and being able to help with factual advice on how to drive change, to maintain environmental performance.

How to keep it up for your benefit: Legitimate efforts to a culture of sustainability create and defend values. You can only do that if you follow paths to authenticity, transparency and responsiveness to grow and thrive.

Footnote 1: Copyright Carbon Training International Visit www.co2ti.com

Footnote 2: Check out the body of work on Apple by Krosinsky (Senior Vice President of TruCost). Other references Visit www.bloomberg.com/sustainability.


 

Land Use – why change?

Australian Land Use – Why change?

 

The Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences predicts that global demand for food will increase by 77% in the next 40 years but Australia’s share of global food exports will fall from 4% to 3%. Source AFR 040612.

 

The Australian Farm Institute has found that Australia’s agricultural production is among the most volatile in the world – and agriculture is almost the most volatile sector of our economy – to capture the benefits of increased food demand, farmers and processors need to invest in productivity improvements and the development of under-utilised land – but these investments must be made as farmers face climate variability, reduced public investment in R&D, and in commodity markets that are volatile. Source AFR 040612.

Pay the tax – feel good

For the shock jocks to think about: You should feel good to pay taxes!

Research in Italy – says “People pay taxes because it feels good”. The study included thousands of Italians, the researchers discovered that a greater willingness to pay taxes is associated with greater levels of personal happiness – this finding that dovetails with research showing that tax cheating has psychological costs such as guilt and a diminished self-image – of Italians surveyed, 79% said they strongly felt that paying taxes is one of the duties of citizenship. Sourced HBR 120512. So what is wrong Australia, why do you feel so miserable?

Are we alone on Carbon Tax (or is it price in Australia)?

Carbon taxes around the world: China is planning a carbon tax on big energy consumers by 2015 – some provinces have already introduced a carbon tax – in the US there is no nationwide tax although a few states have introduced the tax – Canada does not have a federal carbon tax, but some Canadian provinces and states do have carbon taxes – India has introduced a nationwide carbon tax of 50 rupees per tonne ($1.07) on coal both produced and imported – South Korea introduced a national carbon tax in 2008 – Japan does not have a carbon tax but is planning to implement one – the European Union enacted an emissions trading scheme in 2005 – several European countries have enacted a carbon tax, including Denmark, Finland, Ireland, the Netherlands, Norway, Slovenia, Sweden, Switzerland, and the UK. Sourced: SBS World News 160512. We are not alone, so good!

CFI or BF or BAU – decisions to participate

Deciding to participate

In deciding which government program will be more effective in attracting landholders and farming practitioners you have to consider whether it be the Carbon Farming Initiative (CFI) or the Biodiversity Fund (BF), or some new mechanism yet to be announced.

The later will come or go in the political morass. However, tangible initiatives are in place that could help private landholders hold-on in these difficult times and benefit both greenhouse abatement and encourage biodiversity management.

Which way would you go? Are you as a landholder a change agent? It will matter if you want to participate.

What if you set up a conservation practice, and go beyond business as usual -That is become a change agent? If yes, than it is possible to launch into the programs.

Which program is better suited to who, and why would you buy into either? What is the cost-benefit indicator in either?

Where to launch yourself

Consider this: A carbon credit is a property right that can help farmers, it is measureable and tradable. If the carbon credit unit under the CFI is vaulted and not sold it is possible it could be lost. CFI makes provision for more appealing use of the credit by market mechanism, meaning a more appealing product could produce a greater value for the property for which the credit was produced.   So you need to consider what is the level of government intervention likely, and what would be the triggers for this or any other government to consider the need for intervention.

Next consider the BF. The Biodiversity Fund can compensate farmers for some of the carbon forest establishment expenses, and it can guarantee the forests to be permanent carbon sinks. What BF does is help private landholders add value to the carbon sink and restore their landscape by undertaking biodiverse plantings. Outside our control, risk can occur and one example is bush fires.

But, are the market signals enough, why should I lock up my land to participate in either? I can still be able to plant trees on my private land, there is still a business potential for business as usual for agricultural purposes, and that could satisfy my local social and cultural values, and suit my financial needs. It follows I am happy that I treat my land with respect and its nature rewards me without government programs. Responding to market signals might not preserve what is my reason for being a landholder despite the promises.

If I clearly, believe in the requirement to address emissions abatement and biodiversity to protect, what is causing me this unease?  Do I feel this way, have doubts, because I am concerned about the design of the programs, and the short answer is yes.  It is a particular political party making me feel this way, short answer no.

Design of the programs

What worries me is the design of the programs. Innovators are locked out, policy outputs are aggregated in to boxes, and many ticks in the box are called outcomes. Because of this the ability to influence the approaches to emission abatement and biodiversity management is compromised. Compromise has the potential to disrupt the success of the projects. To the government’s defence they have allocated a research budget under the CFI to study and deliver outcomes for the programs.

Can your feedback enhance the design of these programs? It happens Carbon Innovation (CI) and Carbon Training International (CTi) have been approaching government agencies and designed an CFI Exchange Series to address this problem and give feedback on what affects farmers and landholders – more than just policy outputs we argue.

What are the CI/CTi CFI Exchange series findings?

1. Overlooked in the design of programs: Social and cultural factors have the ability to influence these market approaches to emissions abatement and biodiversity management.

2. Social and cultural factors are the drivers to successful programs.

3. The bother of undertaking the many steps of CFI methodology process (positive/negative lists etc) is time consuming for landowners, and diverts the efforts that could otherwise be productive on the future of their farm businesses.

4. Landholders are having to deal with uncertainties and the risks are more often exaggerated and the opportunities obscure.

5. Awareness sessions labeled Carbon 101, short courses, are done to death.

Dealing with uncertainty

The 100 klm rule is most influential in dealing with uncertainty.

All it takes is a neighbor to say: Sounds a bit risky. You then feel compelled to get more information on what will effect you. The government will argue the information is available on government websites, by third parties authorized by the government. But clearly lacking is an adequate explanation of how, what or where to address the skills and competencies required – that is a no to adequate information.

Outside the 100 klm, the ability of the landholder to influence is much less, as country and soil type, diversity and other factors can affect decisions. For instance a brown soil country has a much different productive capacity to grey alluvial soil. An urban encroachment over rural farmlands will see different attitudes. Enthusiasm to experiment can replace the practicality of historical lessons.

The Exchange series was designed to alleviate the constant fear of carbon schemes being put at risk, and providing information to make it less uncertain for landowners.

Think of it as an insurance of really knowing if the government is here to help you.

On the subject of insurance, good data will help get adequate cover – so I am told! Is that adequate to be an extra incentive for me? Back to you shortly.

References are various and this post mainly forms the seeming factual position to report and is not meant for anyone to rely on financial decision making. It is however, demonstrating the need for more information.

 

Woodlawn Ducks

On 11 June 2012, the Sydney Morning Herald wrote that the French company Veolia has been approved to increase the maximum amount of rubbish dumped in the disused Woodlawn mine at Tarago, near Goulburn, (originally 360,000 million tonnes then increased to 500,000) to 1.13 million tonnes a year.

The issue is new transfer facilities are required, and no evidence is obvious that the Sydney end or the Tarago end is able to handle the increased waste transfer rates.

For example the current Sydney facility can handle 500,000 tonnes per year. Tarago has a rail siding capable of transhipping from rail to road for the remainder of the journey at the rate of the Sydney transfer capability.

Veolia is quoted as saying: “new transfer infrastructure would be needed to handle increased waste from Sydney”.

In March 2012, when approving the Woodlawn expansion the (NSW) Planning Assessment Commission did conclude waste levies, not caps, would reduce garbage flowing to landfills. But they failed to disclose that the approved waste sorting facility(s) was not coping or missing from the equation.

What is even more compelling is the NSW Department of Environment, Climate Change and Water thought the Woodlawn expansion plan failed to address planning regulations that require landfill proposals to demonstrate “a suitable level of recovery of waste”. Co2Land believes fiqures of recovery are significantly lower than predicted. Co2land also notes the methane-capture facility at the site converts greenhouse gas emissions into renewable energy, but is underperforming. The new windfarm at Woodlawn helps offset the losses by this underperformance.

With all this good example potential.  Why don’t they rail direct to the Woodlawn site? It might make all the planets align!

CO2 REDD line

Five years after Australia’s “direct action” pledge (John’s not Julia’s), We are seeing serious criticism by the Greens that the schemes overstated their aims, claims and were underachievers. If not total failures.

A brief background is: Australia started a global fund to fight forest destruction with the aim of halving the rate of deforestation and reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 3 billion tonnes a year. The politics of the day was convinced emissions reductions greater than 10 times that under Kyoto Protocol was possible, and born was the Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD) schemes in Indonesia.

The Sydney Morning Herald, 11 June 2012, published under the story “Credits lost in tangle of Aceh’s forest” that the Australian government and private sector schemes in Indonesia “have faltered or fallen spectacularly, recriminations flying”. Maybe even worst is the claims the REDD is yet to earn $1 for preservation of forests, and yet to generate a single carbon credit!

But can Julia save John from history recording his mistake? Can super Julia’s and her team ‘policy fix’ with a carbon-trading scheme, which begins its fixed price period on July 1, by saving a big supply of carbon credits sourced from a renewed vigor to direct action in other countries, and maybe save Indonesia’s forests.

Without needing Einstein to work it out, regardless of A bott’s hot air spittle, we need offshore credits to met targets modeled as 434 million tonnes a year by 2050.

As Australians, we can run but we cannot hide from it, we are large emitters from a small population and we cannot meet even modest greenhouse reduction targets without sourcing credits overseas. This will be especially true for our farmers under the Carbon Farming Initiatives, which has bi-partisan support.